Nate Silver
Founder, FiveThirtyEight | Bestselling Author, "The Signal and the Noise" and "On the Edge"
NateSilver is the leading political forecaster whose statistics-driven approach is unparalleled in its accuracy to predict election outcomes. He first gained national attention during the 2008 presidential election when he correctly predicted the results of the primaries and the presidential winner in 49 states. In 2012, he called 50 of 50 states.
A pioneer in the field of data journalism, Silver publishes his insights and statistical assessments of cultural phenomena on his highly popular Silver Bulletin Substack, boasting nearly a quarter million subscribers. Silver founded the award-winning Five Thirty Eight website and served as its editor-in-chief until 2023.
Silver is the author of two NewYork Times bestsellers. His newest book, On the Edge: The Art of Risking Everything, was named one of the most-anticipated books of 2024 by Financial Times, The Guardian, and The Sunday Times. Inspired by his experiences as a professional poker player, the book takes us behind the scenes of casinos, venture capital firms, crypto networks, and into the minds of professional risk-takers to help us better understand navigating uncertainty in the 21st century. In a starred review, Kirkus praises it as "An enlightening study of the people who play the game of risk and win." To accompany the book, Silver launched the Risky Business podcast, applying his renowned analytical framework to everything from politics and poker to better decision-making in one’s personal life.
His first bestseller, The Signal and The Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail — But Some Don't, shows how to make reliable distinctions between both meaningful signals and noisy data, and confident predictions and accurate ones. Forbes deems it “essential reading in the era of Big Data that touches every business, every sports event, and every policymaker.” The Wall Street Journal lauds the book as “accessible” and “painstakingly researched.”
Silver has written for ESPN, Sports Illustrated, Slate, the NewYork Sun, and the New York Times. His work has been featured in such publications as the New York Times, Newsweek, Huffington Post, and Vanity Fair. He has been named one of Fast Company‘s 100 Most Creative People in Business, TIME's 100 Most Influential People, and Rolling Stone's 100 Agents of Change.
Topics
The Future of Risk Management: How poker influences decision-making across domains
With the proliferation of online gambling, the principles of poker gameplay have seeped into other domains where analytics and strategy intersect. As a result, decision-making paradigms across industries from sports to business are shifting as players view risk in a different light. In this talk, Nate Silver explains the data and cultural phenomena behind this change, how it manifests in different industries, and what this means for the future of risk management. A professional poker player, renowned political forecaster, and bestselling author of several books including his most recent, On the Edge: The Art of Risking Everything, Nate Silver is uniquely positioned to demystify risk and risk takers for audiences who wish to understand this quickly changing, newly emerging world.
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On the Edge: The Art of Risking Everything
Studies show that we make approximately 35,000 decisions a day. Luckily, the majority of these are routine and inconsequential. The world will not stop turning if you make a less-than-ideal breakfast choice. But how do we ensure we make the right decision when it really matters? It starts with understanding risk. Professional risk takers—poker players and hedge fund managers, crypto true-believers and blue-chip art collectors—can teach us a lot about navigating the uncertainty of the 21st century. In researching for his newest book On the Edge, Silver embedded himself within the worlds of Doyle Brunson, Peter Thiel, Sam Bankman-Fried, Sam Altman and many others, to share insights into a range of issues from the frontiers of finance to the future of AI. In this presentation, Nate Silver shares his analytical framework for assessing risk and making data-driven decisions that can give your business a competitive edge in an increasingly uncertain marketplace. Drawing from his work as both a leading statistician and professional poker player, Silver empowers audiences with strategies to confidently chart a course for success in business and in life.
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US Politics
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Presidential Series
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